Real world caveat. Republicans are not going to win the black vote in 2020. Obviously. But they don’t need to. Cutting into the huge percentages by which Democrats win the black vote alone can cost Dems elections. And even Vox’s Yglesias is expressing some concern about Trump’s outreach.
And he’s citing some statistics.
Turnout wasn’t the issue here, with African Americans constituting 12 percent of the midterm electorate, flat from 2016 and the highest-ever recorded for a midterm. Rather, according to Democratic data firm Catalyst’s analysis of the results, Democrats won the black vote by “only” a 90 percentage point margin in 2018 House races down from 93 percent in the 2016 presidential.
Which is interesting. Really interesting.
In Georgia, for example, Stacy Abrams’s much-touted efforts to increase minority turnout were largely successful and the electorate was less white than the state saw in 2016 or 2014. But in terms of voters’ choices, Abrams did better than Clinton with Georgia’s white population but worse with black voters.
Read the full story from Front Page Mag
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