Democrats now have a small army of candidates running for president in 2020 but it might not make any difference in the end.
According to three separate yet trusted modelers, Trump’s prospects of winning re-election in 2020 are very high.
The Hill reports:
3 modelers predict Trump reelection: report
Three modelers are predicting President Trump will win reelection in 2020 based on a combination of economic data and incumbent advantages, according to a column in The New York Times.
Steven Rattner wrote that Ray Fair of Yale favors Trump to win based on a model that combines incumbency and gross domestic product growth rates.
The model predicted Barack Obama’s 2008 popular vote margin within a fraction of a percentage point and got within two-tenths of a point for his 2012 vote […]
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