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So much for the ‘blue wave’ in Florida

Democrats in Florida are puzzled by several electoral signs that are showing the probability that a “blue wave” in the state may be a mirage. In fact, some analysts are wondering whether a “red tide” will supplant the blue wave.

It’s par for the course in purple Florida where statewide races are usually very close.


“If a blue wave is forming, it certainly hasn’t crested. Maybe there’s a red tide coming in and affecting the blue wave?” said Daniel A. Smith, a University of Florida political science professor who studies the state’s voter rolls and trends.

So far, there’s enough data to show that some of Democrats’ hoped-for advantages — concerning Hispanic voters, Democratic voter registrations, Democratic ballots cast or young voters — haven’t clearly materialized heading into the Aug. 28 primary. With close Senate and gubernatorial races, Florida is one of the most important states for both parties in the 2018 midterms.

For this election, the percentage of active registered Democrats is down by nearly 2 percentage points compared with 2016, according to Florida Division of Elections data published Sunday for the primary. Because Florida doesn’t allow last-minute voter registration, the figures are final.

Read the full story from American Thinker

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